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Fidesz vs Tisza: what has changed since the change of government?

The latest figure compared with the value when the new government took office – and, for comparison, how the indicator moved over the same length of time before the change.

This is a short period: the indicators are also strongly driven by the world economy, earlier decisions and seasonal effects, so changes cannot be attributed to the new government alone.

Change of government
FideszTisza
171days in office

Magyar Péter has been prime minister since 9 May 2026.

7indicators improved
10indicators worsened
2unchanged or neutral
EUR/HUF✗ worsened
355.14367.14 HUF
8 May 2026 → 27 Oct 2026
+3.4%since the change of government
Same period before: −7.4%
Inflation✓ improved
2.62.1%
April 2026 → September 2026
−0.5 ppsince the change of government
Same period before: −0.7 pp
Base rate
6.255.50%
25 Feb 2026 → 27 Oct 2026
−0.75 ppsince the change of government
Same period before: −0.25 pp
Unemployment✗ worsened
4.64.7%
April 2026 → August 2026
+0.1 ppsince the change of government
Same period before: +0.1 pp
Food prices✓ improved
−0.9−4.6%
April 2026 → September 2026
−3.7 ppsince the change of government
Same period before: −0.6 pp
10Y yield✓ improved
6.275.69%
April 2026 → September 2026
−0.59 ppsince the change of government
Same period before: −0.62 pp
Debt (monthly)✗ worsened
63.3467.77 trn HUF
April 2026 → September 2026
+7.0%since the change of government
Same period before: +6.3%
Youth unemployment✗ worsened
12.815.4%
April 2026 → August 2026
+2.6 ppsince the change of government
Same period before: −1.2 pp
USD/HUF✗ worsened
301.89329.51 HUF
8 May 2026 → 27 Oct 2026
+9.1%since the change of government
Same period before: −8.9%
Sentiment✓ improved
99.899.9
April 2026 → September 2026
+0.1since the change of government
Same period before: −0.2
Retail sales✓ improved
105.7106.3
April 2026 → August 2026
+0.6%since the change of government
Same period before: +0.8%
Industrial output✓ improved
95.099.1
April 2026 → August 2026
+4.3%since the change of government
Same period before: +0.8%
Energy prices✗ worsened
2.55.2%
April 2026 → September 2026
+2.7 ppsince the change of government
Same period before: +7.4 pp
CHF/HUF✗ worsened
387.93397.67 HUF
8 May 2026 → 27 Oct 2026
+2.5%since the change of government
Same period before: −6.2%
Real exchange rate
114.2116.4
April 2026 → July 2026
+2.0%since the change of government
Same period before: +1.8%
Consumer confidence✓ improved
−15.6−3.4
April 2026 → September 2026
+12.2since the change of government
Same period before: +3.7
Real wages✗ worsened
8.98.6%
April 2026 → August 2026
−0.3 ppsince the change of government
Same period before: −16.5 pp
Petrol✗ worsened
600644 HUF
4 May 2026 → 19 Oct 2026
+7.3%since the change of government
Same period before: +4.7%
Diesel✗ worsened
628709 HUF
4 May 2026 → 19 Oct 2026
+13.0%since the change of government
Same period before: +4.9%
Every government's start

The first 171 days – government by government

Each line is one government: the change from the day it took office, over the same number of days – so the current start can be compared fairly with earlier ones.

−10−50510150306090120150
Days since taking office
  1. Day 171Tisza: 5/9
  2. 1.Bajnai2009−6.9%
  3. 2.Medgyessy2002−1.8%
  4. 3.Gyurcsány2004+0.4%
  5. 4.Orbán II–V2010+1.1%
  6. 5.Magyar2026+3.4%
  7. 6.Orbán I1998+5.7%
  8. 7.Antall1990+5.8%
  9. 8.Boross1993+6.0%
  10. 9.Horn1994+10.2%

In the first 171 days of the Magyar government the euro rate moved +3.4%; for the forint that ranks 5 of 9 government starts.

Governments compared →

The last 2 years

Before and after the change, charted

The dashed vertical line marks the day of the change. Use the buttons to see longer periods.

367.14 HUF
27 Oct 2026
−5.4%over one year+3.4%since change
Orbán II–VMagyar340360380400420Jan 2025MaySepJan 2026MaySep
FideszTisza
Source: Magyar Nemzeti Bank
Details →
2.1%
September 2026
−2.2 ppover one year−0.5 ppsince change
HungaryEU averageRule in force
Orbán II–VMagyar0246Oct 2024Jan 2025AprJulOctJan 2026AprJulMargin cap
FideszTisza
Source: Eurostat
Details →
5.50%
27 Oct 2026
−1.00 ppover one year−0.75 ppsince change
AntallHornOrbán IGyurcsányOrbán II–VMagyar010203019901995200020052010201520202025
Before 1990MDFMSZPFideszTisza
Source: BIS / Magyar Nemzeti Bank
Details →

Unemployment rate

% of labour force
4.7%
August 2026
+0.4 ppover one year+0.1 ppsince change
HungaryEU average
Orbán II–VMagyar02468Oct 2024Jan 2025AprJulOctJan 2026AprJul
FideszTisza
Source: Eurostat
Details →

Food price inflation

annual change, %
−4.6%
September 2026
−7.6 ppover one year−3.7 ppsince change
HungaryEU averageRule in force
Orbán II–VMagyar−50510Jan 2025MaySepJan 2026MaySepMargin cap
FideszTisza
Source: Eurostat
Details →
5.69%
September 2026
−1.28 ppover one year−0.59 ppsince change
Orbán II–VMagyar02468Oct 2024Jan 2025AprJulOctJan 2026AprJul
FideszTisza
Source: Eurostat
Details →

Central government debt (monthly)

trillion forints, end of month
67.77 trn HUF
September 2026
+13.6%over one year+7.0%since change
Orbán II–VMagyar020406080Jan 2025MaySepJan 2026MaySep
FideszTisza
Source: ÁKK – Államadósság Kezelő Központ
Details →

Youth unemployment (under 25)

% of labour force under 25
15.4%
August 2026
+0.4 ppover one year+2.6 ppsince change
HungaryEU average
Orbán II–VMagyar05101520Sep 2024Jan 2025MaySepJan 2026May
FideszTisza
Source: Eurostat
Details →
329.51 HUF
27 Oct 2026
−1.7%over one year+9.1%since change
Orbán II–VMagyar300350400450Jan 2025MaySepJan 2026MaySep
FideszTisza
Source: Magyar Nemzeti Bank
Details →

Economic sentiment indicator (ESI)

long-term average = 100
99.9
September 2026
+2.6over one year+0.1since change
HungaryEU average
Orbán II–VMagyar9095100105Jan 2025MaySepJan 2026MaySepaverage
FideszTisza
Source: Eurostat
Details →

Retail sales volume

index, 2021 = 100
106.3
August 2026
+2.8%over one year+0.6%since change
Orbán II–VMagyar98100102104106108Sep 2024Jan 2025MaySepJan 2026May
FideszTisza
Source: Eurostat
Details →

Industrial production

index, 2021 = 100
99.1
August 2026
+8.7%over one year+4.3%since change
Orbán II–VMagyar9092949698100Sep 2024Jan 2025MaySepJan 2026May
FideszTisza
Source: Eurostat
Details →

Energy price inflation

annual change, %
5.2%
September 2026
+4.0 ppover one year+2.7 ppsince change
HungaryEU average
Orbán II–VMagyar−1001020Jan 2025MaySepJan 2026MaySepFirewood VAT: 5%
FideszTisza
Source: Eurostat
Details →
397.67 HUF
27 Oct 2026
−4.9%over one year+2.5%since change
Orbán II–VMagyar360380400420440460Jan 2025MaySepJan 2026MaySep
FideszTisza
Source: Magyar Nemzeti Bank
Details →
116.4
July 2026
+8.6%over one year+2.0%since change
Orbán II–VMagyar100105110115120Sep 2024Jan 2025MaySepJan 2026May2015 = 100
FideszTisza
Source: Eurostat
Details →

Consumer confidence

balance, points
−3.4
September 2026
+21.3over one year+12.2since change
HungaryEU average
Orbán II–VMagyar−30−20−10010Jan 2025MaySepJan 2026MaySep
FideszTisza
Source: Eurostat
Details →
8.6%
August 2026
+3.9 ppover one year−0.3 ppsince change
Orbán II–VMagyar0102030Sep 2024Jan 2025MaySepJan 2026MayFamily allowance +50%Mothers of threeMothers of two
FideszTisza
Source: KSH
Details →
644 HUF
19 Oct 2026
+12.5%over one year+7.3%since change
HungaryEU averagePrice cap
Orbán II–VMagyar500600700800Jan 2025MaySepJan 2026MaySepProtected price: 595 HUF
FideszTisza
Source: European Commission – Weekly Oil Bulletin
Details →

Diesel price

HUF per litre
709 HUF
19 Oct 2026
+22.2%over one year+13.0%since change
HungaryEU averagePrice cap
Orbán II–VMagyar500600700800900Jan 2025MaySepJan 2026MaySepProtected price: 615 HUF
FideszTisza
Source: European Commission – Weekly Oil Bulletin
Details →